Castro vs CF Vimenor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
0 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
COL
35%
25%
41%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TEX
1 - 3
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CF Vimenor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
SEL
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 1
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
GIM
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
SDT
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |