Castro vs CF Vimenor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 1
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GIM
5 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
SIE
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SEL
2 - 0
CAS
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CF Vimenor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
ESC
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
2 - 2
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALB
51%
25%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GIM
4 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |