Castro vs Villaescusa SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
NUE
64%
20%
15%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MER
1 - 4
CAS
22%
23%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 0
CAS
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villaescusa SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
ARE
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 2
VIL
24%
22%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAN
93%
6%
2%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAG
0 - 2
VIL
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
92%
7%
2%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |