Castro vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
NOJ
55%
22%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAS
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOJ
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
3 - 3
VEL
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 1
VLE
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
RIN
3 - 0
VEL
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
VEL
4 - 0
RAM
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |