Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Castro vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAY
46%
28%
26%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CHA
5 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
UPL
1 - 0
ATB
68%
20%
11%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
RCF
1 - 4
UPL
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
MIR
1 - 2
UPL
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
UPL
4 - 1
CUL
48%
29%
23%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RUN
0 - 2
UPL
59%
25%
17%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |