Castro vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
SIE
23%
26%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
0 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ESC
1 - 2
CUL
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
ESC
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ESC
0 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
ESC
21%
23%
57%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ESC
2 - 0
TEX
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |