Castro vs UC Cartes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
TEX
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NOJ
1 - 1
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
SEL
48%
25%
27%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UC Cartes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CUL
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
COL
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
TEX
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |