Castro vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
16º
12º
52
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 2
CAS
48%
25%
27%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALB
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAY
2 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAR
14%
21%
65%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CAY
2 - 0
TRO
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
REV
2 - 0
TRO
12%
17%
72%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 2
SOL
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |