Castro vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
TEX
1 - 0
CAS
41%
27%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAS
32%
28%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 3
DEV
86%
11%
3%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 1
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CAS
3 - 1
ESC
37%
27%
36%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 0
BAR
59%
25%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
TRO
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
TRO
0 - 0
NOJ
33%
27%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
SOL
2 - 1
TRO
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
TRO
1 - 2
LAR
59%
25%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |