Castro vs SD Textil Escudo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 0
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
RAY
3 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESC
8%
17%
75%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
4%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
BAR
20%
24%
56%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SD Textil Escudo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TEX
2 - 4
ESC
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
RAC
3 - 2
TEX
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TEX
4 - 2
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TRO
3 - 1
TEX
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TEX
1 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |