Castro vs SD Textil Escudo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BEZ
1 - 0
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
REV
51%
25%
24%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
CAY
17%
25%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SD Textil Escudo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TEX
2 - 0
LAR
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 0
TEX
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TEX
3 - 0
VEL
35%
23%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 2
TEX
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
TEX
69%
18%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |