Castro vs Siete Villas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 1
CAS
45%
25%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
27%
26%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RAC
3 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
RAY
3 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Siete Villas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SIE
3 - 1
BEZ
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ESC
0 - 1
SIE
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 0
TEX
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 1
SIE
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |