Castro vs Selaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
GIM
3 - 2
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
SDT
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 2
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESC
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 1
CUL
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 2
SEL
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
COL
1 - 1
SEL
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 2
TEX
39%
26%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |