Castro vs Selaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
BEZ
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAS
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
REV
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAS
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
TRO
18%
23%
59%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 1
SEL
84%
11%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 0
ALB
45%
27%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
SEL
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SEL
3 - 3
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
RAY
4 - 0
SEL
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |