Castro vs Santoña CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 2
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
SEL
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
RAC
23%
26%
51%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Santoña CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
BEZ
30%
26%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TEX
0 - 3
SAN
68%
20%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
SIE
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |