Castro vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BEZ
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SEL
20%
24%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAY
11%
22%
67%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
VEL
15%
21%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
ESC
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
TRO
21%
24%
56%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RAY
3 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |