Castro vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
REV
1 - 3
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BEZ
46%
26%
29%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
RIB
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRO
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
RIN
0 - 2
SDT
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
RIN
0 - 1
BAR
41%
24%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CUL
4 - 1
RIN
52%
24%
24%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SOL
2 - 1
RIN
22%
25%
53%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAY
3 - 0
RIN
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |