Castro vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
BEZ
3 - 0
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
RIB
0 - 6
CAS
18%
23%
59%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
RIN
56%
24%
20%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
REV
1 - 3
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
REV
3 - 3
SDT
34%
26%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 1
REV
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
REV
0 - 2
BAR
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SOL
4 - 0
REV
30%
27%
44%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
REV
1 - 3
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |