Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-2
Castro vs CD Pontejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1991 |
PON
2 - 0
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
CAS
2 - 0
AYR
74%
19%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
RAM
1 - 1
CAS
25%
30%
45%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
CAS
3 - 0
REO
84%
14%
3%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAS
59%
25%
17%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Pontejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1991 |
PON
2 - 0
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
PON
1 - 0
MCU
69%
20%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
CAY
0 - 2
PON
26%
28%
46%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
PON
1 - 0
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
LAR
0 - 2
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |