Castro vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 2
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
CUL
34%
26%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
CAS
33%
24%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 3
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NAV
0 - 1
CUL
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
NAV
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
NAV
2 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
NAV
17%
21%
63%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAV
5 - 2
TEX
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |