Castro vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
TEX
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BEZ
0 - 1
CAS
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESC
23%
24%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
31%
26%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
SIE
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 0
BEZ
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 2
GIM
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GIM
5 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 5
GIM
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 0
SEL
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |