Castro vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
16º
12º
26
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TEX
0 - 0
CAS
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESC
18%
23%
60%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 1
CAS
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 8
GIM
16%
23%
60%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SDT
3 - 1
CAS
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 0
CAR
41%
25%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAY
5 - 0
GAM
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GAM
2 - 0
LRI
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GAM
1 - 3
VEL
49%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |