Castro vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAS
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
TEX
54%
25%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 2
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIM
14%
23%
63%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 1
GIM
12%
22%
67%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
GAM
56%
23%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 3
RAC
12%
22%
66%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COL
4 - 1
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
3 - 1
SEL
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |