Castro vs Deportivo Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 1
SEL
50%
26%
25%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 0
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
SIE
34%
26%
39%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
CAS
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESC
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 0
LAR
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 1
RAY
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 1
VEL
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
RAY
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |