Castro vs Deportivo Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GIM
6 - 0
CAS
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALB
43%
27%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 0
CAS
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RAY
3 - 1
TRO
27%
25%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GIM
3 - 1
RAY
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RAY
0 - 2
CAY
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
RAY
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
RAY
2 - 0
CUL
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |