Castro vs Deportivo Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALB
37%
28%
36%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
REV
1 - 0
CAS
50%
24%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
LAR
15%
23%
63%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BUE
1 - 2
CAS
30%
25%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARE
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BEZ
0 - 2
RAY
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
RAY
2 - 0
ESC
63%
20%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
RAY
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
RAY
3 - 0
SIE
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 4
RAY
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |