Castro vs CD Colindres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAS
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAY
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 2
CAS
76%
15%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 4
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
CUL
67%
20%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Colindres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
PON
36%
25%
39%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 1
COL
54%
24%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
LAR
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
GIM
3 - 0
COL
81%
14%
6%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |