Castro vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
VEL
15%
21%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CUL
2 - 2
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
LAR
8%
18%
74%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GIM
3 - 0
CAS
86%
11%
4%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAY
5 - 1
ESC
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 3
CAY
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAY
1 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TRO
1 - 0
CAY
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAY
3 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |