Castro vs CD Bezana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAS
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
REV
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAS
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
TRO
18%
23%
59%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAY
1 - 1
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Bezana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BEZ
0 - 2
GIM
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 1
BEZ
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
BEZ
2 - 0
RAC
16%
24%
60%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +4 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COL
3 - 2
BEZ
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BEZ
1 - 1
SEL
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |