Castro vs SD Barreda Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TRO
4 - 0
CAS
84%
12%
5%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BEZ
1 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SEL
20%
24%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAY
11%
22%
67%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
SD Barreda Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 3
ESC
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRO
27%
24%
48%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
6 - 0
BAR
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RAY
0 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |