Castro vs Barquereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
RIB
0 - 6
CAS
18%
23%
59%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
RIN
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
REV
1 - 3
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BEZ
46%
26%
29%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barquereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
SDT
41%
26%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CUL
3 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
BAR
38%
26%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SOL
1 - 0
BAR
22%
25%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |