Castro Daire vs Trancoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GOU
1 - 2
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ANA
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 3
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 2
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
LUS
26%
27%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Trancoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 1
TRA
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 2
OLI
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RDA
4 - 0
TRA
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 1
TRA
27%
23%
51%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |