Castro Daire vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
11%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
13º
12º
25
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 2
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 3
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUS
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BMA
3 - 3
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
MAR
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
LUS
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GON
3 - 2
MAC
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |