Castro Daire vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
13º
12º
30
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 1
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 0
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
GON
31%
29%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAS
75%
18%
8%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LEC
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
LUS
31%
29%
41%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GON
2 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAL
30%
27%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
REB
1 - 1
LEC
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |