Castro Daire vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
COI
13%
26%
61%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FAV
0 - 3
CAS
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAL
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
GON
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LEC
4 - 0
GOU
74%
18%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GOU
0 - 1
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 0
GOU
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GOU
0 - 2
COI
7%
22%
71%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GOU
2 - 0
FAV
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +2 |