Castro Daire vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
COI
2 - 1
CAS
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAS
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
FAV
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
27%
27%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAL
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 1
LEC
9%
18%
74%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
GOU
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 2
ALV
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
COI
3 - 0
GOU
75%
18%
7%
|
24 | 69 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FAV
2 - 1
GOU
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |