Castro Daire vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
13º
12º
29
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
CAS
38%
29%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
60%
24%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 2
CAS
8%
16%
76%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
COI
14%
24%
62%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 4
BMA
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALP
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 0
GUA
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
PAR
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALP
1 - 2
ACA
6%
13%
82%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |