Castle vs Independiente Huachog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CFC
31%
21%
48%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 0
INM
34%
22%
44%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ECO
1 - 0
CFC
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Huachog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CFC
31%
21%
48%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAF
4 - 1
IND
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
ESC
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |