Castle vs Ecosem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.3%
81.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
18.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
INM
1 - 2
CFC
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 1
IND
45%
22%
33%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CFC
31%
21%
48%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 0
INM
34%
22%
44%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ECO
1 - 0
CFC
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ecosem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ECO
6 - 0
ATC
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STI
0 - 0
ECO
5%
15%
80%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ECO
1 - 0
STI
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATC
2 - 2
ECO
10%
14%
76%
|
27 | 5 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ECO
1 - 0
CFC
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |