Castillo CF vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SSR
1 - 0
CAS
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
VEC
31%
30%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ULP
0 - 0
CAS
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 1
LAN
33%
30%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAY
15%
25%
60%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
NEG
0 - 0
UDL
22%
26%
52%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PPJ
0 - 0
NEG
72%
17%
10%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
NEG
0 - 4
ATB
23%
26%
51%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
LEG
3 - 0
NEG
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ALC
0 - 2
NEG
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |