Castillo CF vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAS
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 4
CAG
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LAG
1 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 4
PPJ
28%
27%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 4
CAS
23%
27%
50%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
REA
0 - 0
COR
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 1
REA
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
REA
1 - 0
SDT
25%
26%
49%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
UDT
3 - 1
REA
57%
23%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
REA
1 - 2
UDF
17%
23%
60%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |