Castillo CF vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
56.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 2
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
CER
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDF
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 3
CAS
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
PPJ
0 - 1
CDO
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CDO
2 - 0
LEG
26%
27%
46%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
CDO
1 - 0
PPJ
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SSR
0 - 0
CDO
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
GIM
2 - 0
CDO
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |