Castillo CF vs Llanos Aridane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
SDT
1 - 1
CAS
41%
26%
32%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 1
UDT
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
UDF
1 - 1
CAS
48%
26%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDP
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
2 - 0
CAS
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Llanos Aridane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 0
COR
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
LLA
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SDT
0 - 0
LLA
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 1
UDT
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UDF
1 - 1
LLA
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |