Castillo CF vs Casa Pastores analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.4%
9.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1014%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 0
CAS
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAG
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 1
CAS
17%
17%
66%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 2
CER
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 5
CAS
10%
15%
75%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pastores
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CPA
2 - 0
ICO
54%
19%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 11
CPA
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CPA
3 - 0
CDT
23%
20%
58%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
UCA
4 - 2
CPA
71%
16%
14%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
CPA
3 - 6
MAG
28%
20%
52%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |