Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-5
Castillo CF vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
CER
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDF
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 3
CAS
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CAS
7 - 0
UDI
59%
24%
17%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LUG
0 - 1
CER
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
CER
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PON
1 - 1
CER
18%
26%
56%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CER
3 - 2
BER
76%
17%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |