Castilleja vs Lebrijana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FER
1 - 1
CAS
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDZ
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ROC
0 - 2
CAS
34%
24%
41%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAS
44%
24%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
AYA
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LEB
1 - 0
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
LEB
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEB
1 - 2
CAB
54%
23%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LEB
1 - 2
ICR
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DHM
0 - 3
LEB
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |