Castilleja vs Roteña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 1
CAS
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
LEB
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAS
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SRO
1 - 2
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Roteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
UDR
1 - 2
ECI
18%
24%
58%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CDG
3 - 1
UDR
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDR
0 - 1
COR
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 2
UDR
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
UDR
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |