Castilleja vs Pinzón CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 2
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
FER
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UDT
2 - 1
CAS
54%
22%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDR
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAS
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pinzón CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 1
FER
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDR
3 - 2
CDP
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 3
CAC
36%
25%
39%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
REC
2 - 0
CDP
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 0
ALG
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |