Castilleja vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CCF
4 - 0
CAS
38%
26%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALM
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 0
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
CDP
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 2
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
ALM
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 3
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 4
CCF
5%
15%
79%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 2
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |