Castilleja vs Montilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAS
20%
24%
56%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AYA
2 - 1
CAS
52%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 1
REC
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CDG
3 - 2
CAS
31%
26%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
BOL
37%
25%
37%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
REC
0 - 4
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ALC
55%
23%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
JER
57%
23%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |